Handicapper Profile

Matt Fargo

Matt is on a SOLID 36-22 run over the last 21 days! He is on a 38-22 Run his last 60 NHL Plays and is 316-234 (+$41,672) the last two years! MLB has profited $20,257 since the start of last season! NBA on a 6-3 Run!

Pick Packs

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Past Picks

Show the last picks

Date	W/L	Type	Handicapper Selection
5/19/2019	WINNER	NBA	Fargo's 10* NBA Sunday Enforcer (SOLID 33-22 Run) This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Like Portland, Toronto is in must win mode after falling behind 2-0 in this series but after the Blazers blew an 18-point lead, we do not expect a repeat from the Raptors. Toronto is 37-11 at home and feasibly could have this series tied and home court advantage on its side. The Bucks, showing rust after a week off, needed a fourth-quarter surge to win Game One 108-100 on Wednesday. In Game Two on Friday, they dominated from the tip in a 125-103 victory to take a 2-0 series lead. The Raptors, after trailing by 28 points Friday, made a push to draw to within 13 in the third quarter and that was encouraging to see while the game was thought to be over. For the Bucks, the Friday victory continues a dominating run through the postseason, lifting them to 10-1 SU and ATS so far in the playoffs and with Milwaukee being the underdog, the public is all over the Bucks. Toronto 10-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games this season while Milwaukee is 7-21 ATS in its last 28 games off three or more consecutive home wins. Here, we play on home favorites revenging a loss of 10 points or more, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 53-22 ATS (70.7 percent) over the last five seasons. *10 (550) Toronto Raptors**
5/19/2019	WINNER	MLB	Fargo's 10* MLB Sunday Sweet Spot (+$19,257 MLB) This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Minnesota put up 18 runs last night as the offense continues to dominate the Mariners pitching in this series, outscoring Seattle 36-11 in the first three victories. The Twins have now won five straight games to maintain a 505-game lead over the Indians in the American League Central. We expect those bats to cool off today however as they are facing the best Seattle starter in the rotation. Seattle opened this homestand with a pair of wins against Oakland and desperately needs a win before heading out on a six-game roadtrip. Yusei Kikuchi gets the ball for the Mariners and his 3.47 ERA and 1.07 WHIP both lead the teams among starters. He is coming off a no-decision in his last start against Oakland, which he allowed three runs on five hits over six innings against Oakland. That came after an impressive 10-1 victory in New York where he held the Yankees to just one run and three hits over 7.2 innings. He has tossed three straight quality outings. Kyle Gibson counters for Minnesota and he has had his share of struggles on the road, posting a 4.44 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in five starts but has benefited from big run support. Here, we play against teams that are batting .333 or better over their last three games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 0.80 or better over his last three starts. This situation is 37-14 (72.5 percent over the last five seasons. *10 (928) Seattle Mariners**
5/19/2019	WINNER	NHL	Fargo's 10* NHL Sunday Breakaway (37-22 L59 NHL) This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. St. Louis won Game Four in a must win situation to even the series and avoid a massive 3-1 hole and this game can also be put up in the must win category for both sides but we like the momentum the Blues bring today. Feasibly they could be up 3-1 at this point if not for the missed call in overtime in Game Three on home ice. The yare 6-2 on the road in the postseason with a lot of that due to defense. Rookie goaltender Jordan Binnington stole the show on Friday, setting a franchise record with his 10th playoff win as a rookie. Blues forward Sammy Blais is expected to play after taking a Brent Burns slap shot off the foot in Game 4, according to the St. Louis Dispatch. Blais leads all players in the series with 24 hits. For the Sharks, there is still no update on Erik Karlsson, who did not play for about nine minutes in the third period in Game Four and this could be a very big deal. Karlsson missed 27 of San Jose's final 33 games in the regular season because of a groin injury. He is clearly not 100 percent. San Jose is 11-20 in its last 31 road games off a road loss by one goal while the Blues are 23-6 in their last 29 games when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game. *10 (21) St. Louis Blues**
5/18/2019	LOSER	NBA	Fargo's 10* NBA Saturday Enforcer (SOLID 5-2 Run) This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. We have been on Portland the first two games of this series and the Blazers head home in what should be a tied series as they gave Game Two away to the Warriors. If Golden St. can secure a split here, this series is likely over and it is up to the Blazers to keep hope alive after Game Three which is typically the time that home teams do respond after losing the first two games on the road. This is a pretty big deal in Portland tonight as Game Three will be the first conference final game in Portland since 2000. The Blazers lost that series to the eventual champion Los Angeles Lakers in seven games. Golden St. overcame a 15-point deficit at halftime, which was the second-largest comeback in postseason franchise history so there has to be some letdown coming from that as the Warriors hit the road where they are 4-2 in the postseason but could easily be 2-4. The Blazers tied for the third best home record in the NBA during the regular season while going 5-1 in the postseason and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Golden St. is 9-21 ATS in its last 30 games off two or more consecutive home wins and here, we play on home favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 90-46 ATS (66.2 percent) over the last five seasons. *10 (548) Portland Trail Blazers**
5/18/2019	LOSER	MLB	Fargo's 10* MLB Saturday Sweet Spot (+$20,257 MLB) This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. We lost a tough one last night with the Red Sox in a low scoring game that Houston stole in the eighth inning. Rick Porcello entered the eighth inning having retired seven consecutive batters and with 91 pitches on his ledger but gave up a two-run home run to cement the Astros ninth straight win. Boston comes in as an underdog once again, albeit not nearly as large as Friday, but that is where the value is once again as the Houston winning streak is playing the biggest part in this number. Despite the loss, Boston has rebounded from a bad start to the season as it is now two games over .500 after a 17-8 run over its last 25 games and the Red Sox are 4-0 in their last four games following a loss. The Astros have the best home record in baseball but they are just three games over .500 on the road and going back, they are 2-5 in their last seven road games against teams with a winning record. Corbin Martin is coming off a successful Major League debut as he limited Texas to just two runs on three hits in 5.1 innings while striking out nine. That was at home however and now he is making his first ever road start against one of the best offenses in baseball. Hector Velazquez counters for Boston and while he has been limited in his pitch count, he is coming off his best start and was stretched to his longest outing of the season which is very encouraging. *10 (974) Boston Red Sox**
5/17/2019	LOSER	NBA	Fargo's 10* NBA Friday Enforcer (SOLID 5-1 Run) This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. We won with Milwaukee in Game One as it overcame a deficit most of the game with a big fourth quarter to take the series opener. Toronto got 14 of its 17 points in the fourth quarter from Kyle Lowry as the rest of the team was 0-15 from the floor and that was the big difference as the Raptors actually held the lead with three and a half minutes left. Another significant part was the play of Brook Lopez for the Bucks as he scored a playoff-career-best 29 points and grabbed 11 rebounds. To put that into perspective, he had scored a total of 27 points in his previous five games combined. Do not expect a repeat performance.. Toronto has to knock down some shots from deep as after going 10-22 in the first half, it was just 5-20 in the second half but the opportunities will be there considering no team gave up more three-point attempts per game than the Bucks this season. While the offense has struggled, fortunately for the Raptors, they have also proven largely effective at containing opposing shooters when playing on the road, allowing just 101 ppg over their past seven games. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage of .750 or better when leading in a playoff series, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .750. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) since 1996. *10 (545) Toronto Raptors**
5/17/2019	WINNER	NHL	Fargo's 10* NHL Friday Breakaway (36-22 L58 NHL) This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Friday Breakaway. St. Louis lost a brutal game on Wednesday in overtime as it fell behind 2-0 but rallied to take a 4-3 lead after two periods. The Blues then allowed the tying goal with a minute remaining in overtime and then lost in overtime with a controversial goal on a hand pass that should have been overturned but is not reviewable on replay. All four referees missed it, marking another blown call in a postseason that has been defined by refereeing controversies and officiating errors. On Thursday, it was reported that the NHL would remove the four on-ice officials that missed the hand-pass in Game Three. That would make four referees and two linesmen eliminated from postseason assignments as a result of costly errors that have benefited the Sharks. If there is any way to get motivated, that is it. The Blues attempted to turn the page quickly in their locker room, and that was the message echoed from the coach so we will see a big effort from then tonight which has now turned into a must win situation. The home teams has won the prior six meetings before the last two games so home ice has played a significant role in this season series. San Jose is 0-5 when leading in a playoff series this season and here, we play on favorites against the money line that are revenging a loss of one goal, off a home loss. This situation is 214-112 (65.6 percent) over the last five seasons. *10 (18) St. Louis Blues**
5/17/2019	WINNER	MLB	Fargo's 10* MLB Friday Triple Play (+$19,147 MLB) This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Philadelphia has seen its lead in the National League East shrink to a game and a half over the Braves following an off day on Thursday. The Phillies didn't have it in the final three games against the Brewers as they were outscored 22-6 in the three losses following a series-opening win. This is the second worst three-game stretch for Philadelphia as it was held to two runs in three straight losses in late April and responded with a 6-0 win next time out and going back, it is 17-3 in its last 20 home games after batting .200 or worse over a three-game span. Colorado lost in Boston on Wednesday in extra innings as a five-run rally was for naught. The Rockies have been playing better after an awful start to the season but they are still inconsistent on the road and they are 2-5 in their last seven games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. The Phillies turn to Cole Irvin for his second start of the season. He was terrific in his major league debut last Sunday at Kansas City, tossing seven strong innings and allowing five hits and one run. The Rockies counter with Jon Gray who is struggling after a great start to the season. He has a 7.16 ERA and 1.78 WHIP over his last three starts and has allowed 10 runs over 10.1 innings in his last two road starts and in two career starts at Philadelphia, he has an 8.71 ERA and 1.65 WHIP. Here, we play on National League teams averaging 5.0 or better and with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA between 4.20 and 5.20. this situation is 75-35 (68.2 percent) since 1997. *10 (904) Philadelphia Phillies This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Arizona is coming off an off day yesterday following an 11-1 win over Oakland to temporarily put a halt to a 1-4 run. The Diamondbacks are now 4.5 games behind the Dodgers in the National League West and they are catching a lower than expected line here based on their below average 10-11 record at home. The offense has picked things up on this homestand as after scoring 11 runs in four games against Atlanta, they scored 22 runs in three games against Oakland. The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last five games following an off day. San Francisco is coming off a 2-3 homestand to fall six games under .500 and its -39 scoring differential is third worst in the National League. The Giants are 0-4 in their last four games following a win while going 11-35 in its last 46 road games after batting .225 or worse over a five-game span. Jeff Samardzija is having a solid season with a 3.51 ERA and 1.15 WHIP but most of the success has come at home as he has a 4.43 ERA in four road starts. The Giants are 5-18 in his last 23 road starts against teams with a winning record. The Diamondbacks counter with Merrill Kelly who has pitched well with the exception of one bad start in Tampa Bay. Take that out and his ERA drops from 4.70 to 3.64 in his other seven starts. Here, we play on National League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better. This situation is 60-18 (76.9 percent) since 1997. 9* (912) Arizona Diamondbacks This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Two potent offenses square off on Friday as well as a rematch from the postseason last year. The Red Sox bounced the then-defending World Series champion Astros in five games in last year's ALCS on their way to their own World Series title. The Astros lead the majors in runs scored in May (102 in 14 games), and the Red Sox are directly behind them (96 in 13). Boston has rebounded from a bad start to the season as it is three games over .500 as it is 17-7 over its last 24 games and has pulled to within four games of first place Tampa Bay in the American League East. Houston has won eight straight games and is already running away with the American League West as it has an eight-game lead over Seattle. Because of the winning streak and who is on the mound, the Astros come in as favorites but the value is on the Red Sox. Rick Porcello has been outstanding since two bad starts to open the season as he has a 3.47 ERA over his last six starts. Porcello hasn't lost since April 13, winning three of his five starts in that stretch. The Red Sox are 5-1 in his last six home starts against teams with a winning record. Gerrit Cole gets the ball for Houston and while he continues to strike out a lot of hitters, he has been proven hittable. In three starts in Boston, he has a 5.82 ERA. The Astros are 1-4 in his last five starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams that are batting .333 or better over their last five games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 0.80 or better over his last three starts. This situation is 38-10 (79.2 percent) since 1997. 9* (922) Boston Red Sox**
5/16/2019	WINNER	MLB	Fargo's 10* MLB Thursday Sweet Spot (+$18,147 MLB) This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. The Padres have lost three straight games to finish their most recent roadtrip at 1-4 and they head back home where they have won six of their last nine games. The starting pitching has kept San Diego within reach of the Dodgers in the National League West where it is six games back as the starters have posted a 3.27 ERA which is one of the better marks in baseball. Going back, San Diego is 11-2 in its last 13 games after getting shutout to a divisional rival. The Pirates lost their series finale in Arizona 11-1 and with the exception of a couple solid efforts, the pitching has been brutal as they have allowed 6.7 rpg through the first seven games of this current roadtrip. For San Diego, Eric Lauer will be looking to rebound from the worst start of his young career while seeking to snap a personal three-game losing streak. He allowed eight runs in three innings but that came in Colorado and prior to that, he had a 4.30 ERA, which is not great by any stretch, but did have a 1.30 WHIP through his first seven starts. The Pirates are 0-5 in their last five games against left-handed starter. Trevor Williams counters for the Pirates and he has not been sharp as he has allowed 10 earned runs in his last 19 innings and has had a hard time keeping the ball on the ground. Williams, who is a native of San Diego, is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in two career starts against the Padres, giving up eight runs on eight hits and two walks with nine strikeouts in 10 2/3 innings. *10 (960) San Diego Padres**
5/16/2019	WINNER	NBA	Fargo's 10* NBA Thursday Enforcer (SOLID 4-1 Run) This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. We lost with Portland in Game One as it could not have played worse but was not out of it until late. Portland went 7-28 from long range while committing 21 turnovers yet the Blazers were still in this game leading up to the final quarter and we can expect a much better performance tonight. The backcourt of the Blazers was horrible as both Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum both struggled which has been atypical this postseason as one or the other has picked up the slack if the other has been struggling. Lillard scored 19 points on just 4 of 12 shooting while McCollum was only 7 of 19 from the floor and scored 17 points. A lot of the poor play on both ends of the floor can be blamed on the quick turnaround from the seven-game series against Denver while Golden St. enjoyed an extra two days off. Now, the time off is back even and do not foresee the Warriors hitting 51.5 percent from long range once again. But this is not the first time the Blazers, who lost Game One to the Nuggets in the conference semifinals, have been in this position as they rebounded to win Game Two. Portland is 8-0 ATS revenging a road loss of 10 points or more this season while Golden St. is 9-19 ATS after a win by 15 points or more this season. *10 (543) Portland Trail Blazers**