Handicapper Profile

Matt Fargo

Matt closed the first half on a SWEET 22-15 MLB run and he is now on a 57-43 (+$11,813) streak in baseball since 5/25! Since 2012, Fargo is a SPECTACULAR 91-64 (+$20,625) in the CFL after an 11-3 start this season!

Pick Packs

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ONE MONTH OF EVERY PICK I RELEASE	Instant Purchase	ALL	$500.00
1 Month of Picks! [ ALL ] You will get ONE MONTH of every selection that I release for just $500. When you log in the selections will be on your service page. If it is a GUARANTEED SELECTION YOU WILL GET IT by signing up for this package! This package is non-guaranteed.

Past Picks

Show the last picks

Date	W/L	Type	Handicapper Selection
7/14/2018	WINNER	Canadian Football	Fargo's 10* CFL Game of the Week (77% CFL YTD) This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. This line was off the board all week waiting for the news of the B.C. quarterback situation and it has been confirmed Travis Lulay will be starting after suffering a knee injury last season. Jonathon Jennings has started the firth three games in his place and once considered one of the most promising young quarterbacks in the CFL, he has struggled to start the 2018 season, completing just 48 of his 72 passes for 487 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. This is the second game of a home-and-home between the Lions and Blue Bombers with the latter taking the first game last week with a 41-19 home win to even their record at 2-2. The Blue Bombers now lead the entire league in total points with 144 and points per game at 36 ppg, while the Lions are sixth overall in both categories so the return of Lulay is a big boost. Winnipeg was excellent on defense last week as it allowed just 280 total yards, but we can chalk that up as an aberration more than the norm as the previous week against Hamilton on the road, the Blue Bombers allowed 480 total yards. Defensively, the Lions need a better push up front as they did not register a sack last week and a change of venue can help that, especially with this being their first home game in a month following a bye week and two road games. Based on what we have seen through four weeks, the public is all over the Blue Bombers which is causing an inflated line considering Winnipeg was favored by just two points more last week and that game was at home. *10 (366) B.C. Lions**
7/14/2018	WINNER	WNBA	Fargo's 10* WNBA Saturday Terminator (11-8 Run) This is a play on the SEATTLE STORM for our WNBA Saturday Terminator. Dallas has been thorn for us the last couple games as the Wings have caught fire, winning five straight games to improve to 12-8 overall which has put them into fourth place in the WNBA playoff standings. They are coming off an upset win at Los Angeles as they took down the Sparks by 15 points and that was the second time they have beaten Los Angeles this season. Dallas has won only one other game the entire year as an underdog which came early in the season at Atlanta and it has gone 0-5 in its other five games when getting points. Seattle was also riding a five-game winning streak prior to facing Los Angeles on Tuesday where it lost to the Sparks by a bucket in overtime. It was an atypical game for Seattle as it blew a double-digit fourth quarter lead, went just 5-24 from long range and committed 21 turnovers. Despite that, the Storm still possess the best record in the WNBA at 15-6 and this has been a great spot play all season as they are a perfect 5-0 following a loss while going a perfect 8-0 when coming off a spreads loss. Seattle has the best home record in the league at 9-4 including an 8-0 run when scoring 80 or more points and that is significant as Dallas allows 84.2 ppg on the highway. Seattle falls into a solid contrarian situation as we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points playing a conference opponent after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) since 1997. *10 (612) Seattle Storm**
7/14/2018	LOSER	MLB	Fargo's 10* MLB Saturday Sweet Spot 55-41 MLB Run This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Kansas City fire-sale is showing the full effects this season as it has fallen to 26-67 which is the second worst record in baseball and its -189 scoring differential is the worst by a wide margin. The Royals lost for the 12th time in their last 13 games as the pitching has been horrible during this stretch, allowing an average of 6.5 rpg. The one is their favor is that they have been better on the road than at home as far as the records go but their 5.20 road ERA is third worst in baseball. The White Sox are another team in transition mode, but they have had more success in the rebuilding tenure and they have been playing much better at home. After a 3-15 start to the season at Guaranteed Rate Field, they have gone 15-12 over their last 27 games here including wins the last two days. Reynaldo Lopez gets the ball for Chicago and he has shown why he is considered one of the top pitching prospects in the organization. He has a 3.77 ERA through 18 starts, 11 of those being quality outings. He has been lit up only twice all season and both of those were on the road and he comes into today with a 2.72 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in seven home start. The White Sox are 5-2 in his last seven home starts against teams with a losing record. The Royals have had some success this season by going 13-18 against left-handed starters but they are an atrocious 13-49 against right-handed starters. Daddy Duffy has been inconsistent this season as only seven of his 19 starts have been quality performances, two of which were not against the White Sox where he allowed nine runs over 10 innings. *10 (968) Chicago White Sox**
7/13/2018	LOSER	Canadian Football	Fargo's 10* CFL Friday Enforcer (83% CFL YTD) This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. We won with Toronto last week as a home underdog as it snapped a two-game losing steak to start the season despite getting outgained by 64 yards. It was a game of momentum, in which Toronto scored 12 straight points to open the game, followed by 17 consecutive points by the Eskimos before the Argonauts put together the winning drive in the fourth quarter. While the Eskimos won the yardage battle, they lost an intangible that lost them yards, points and a possible win as they were penalized 12 times for 126 yards. This included one holding penalty that took a touchdown off the scoreboard. Additionally, they fumbled on their second play of the game which set up the second Toronto touchdown. The Argonauts have been outgained in all three games this season and taking nothing away from their Grey Cup Championship from last season, they have now been outgained in five straight games including 134 yards against Calgary in the final. Edmonton returns home where it is 1-1 and a more discipline team should be able to run away with this one. The Eskimos passed for 370 yards last week and Mike Reilly can go off again against an Argonauts defense that is ranked dead last in the CFL in passing defense. The home team has won eight of the last nine meetings in this series including four straight Edmonton wins by an average of 3.5 ppg. The Eskimos fall into a solid situation where we play on teams that are revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off an upset loss as a favorite. This situation is 106-58 ATS (64.6 percent) since 1996. *10 (364) Edmonton Eskimos**
7/13/2018	LOSER	WNBA	Fargo's 10* WNBA Game of the Week (11-7 Run) This is a play on the INDIANA FEVER for our WNBA Game of the Week. Indiana has lost two straight games and eight of its last nine and on the season, it has just one victory. The Fever have been more competitive on the road than at home as they have been getting inflated numbers based on their straight up record and they have covered six of their nine road games on the season. Atlanta has won two straight games to move over .500 on the season and both of those wins were as underdogs. That sets up a perfect letdown spot here by facing the worst team in the WNBA and add to that, the Dream have a game on Sunday against Eastern Conference leading Washington. Going back, Atlanta is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games when playing against a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse while going 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games coming off a conference win. Indiana falls into a solid contrarian situation as we play on underdogs after failing to cover four or five of their last six games against the spread, winning 25 percent or fewer of their games on the season. This situation is 34-12 ATS (73.9 percent) over the last five seasons with the average scoring differential being just 3.2 ppg. *10 (603) Indiana Fever**
7/13/2018	WINNER	MLB	Fargo's 10* MLB Friday Sweet Spot Underdog (54-41) This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. We lost a tough one with the Blue Jays last night as Mookie Betts hit a two-out grand slam in an epic 13-pitch at-bat, leading Boston to its 10th straight victory. The Red Sox retained their 3.5-game lead over the Yankees in the American League East and are guaranteed to have the lead heading into the All Star Break. Boston has the best home winning percentage in baseball so while going against that is a risk, the value on the underdog negates that. Toronto has now lost six straight games against Boston, but it is now catching the biggest number over this stretch and has a capable arm on the hill to pull off the upset. Ryan Borucki has been exceptional since entering the rotation as he has a 2.25 ERA and 1.25 WHIP through three starts, all of which have been quality outings. Two of those came against the Yankees and Astros, two of the three highest scoring teams in the league, which makes the start even more impressive. He does not have a win to show for it though as run support has been limited. Rick Porcello counters for the Red Sox and he is having a decent season with a 3.58 ERA in 19 starts. Only eight of 14 starts under the lights have been quality outings and in his last four starts against Toronto, he has a 6.20 ERA. Toronto falls into a solid situation where we play against American League teams that are hitting between .265 to .279 and with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better. This situation is 33-11 (75 percent) over the last five seasons. *10 (917) Toronto Blue Jays**
7/12/2018	WINNER	Canadian Football	Fargo's 10* CFL Thursday Enforcer (82% CFL YTD) This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. This is the second meeting of the season between Calgary and Ottawa which possess the best records in the CFL early in the season. Both teams top their respective divisions, with the Stampeders the lone undefeated team remaining while Ottawa will be looking to even the season series after dropping the first meeting 24-14 in Week Three. That game probably should not have been as close as the final score shows as the Stampeders defense did an outstanding job of putting RedBlacks quarterback Trevor Harris under pressure and limited him to 135 passing yards while he completed 13-of-29 pass attempts. They did not do a great job against the run but thanks to a bye week, Calgary will have Cordarro Law back in the lineup, giving them a potent front four that should give the RedBlacks offensive line serious trouble. Ottawa is back home after a pair of road games, including that game at Calgary two weeks ago, and a win over Montreal last week. The RedBlacks are at the disadvantage of having eight fewer days to prepare for this game as Calgary looks to break it recent curse at TD Place Stadium. The Stampeders haven't won a game Ottawa since a 32-7 victory in the RedBlacks inaugural season in 2014 as they have gone 0-1-2 At TD Place against Ottawa since, and suffered a 27-24 Grey Cup loss to Toronto at the stadium last fall. All said and done, the Stampeders are the better team by a significant margin. Calgary is 23-10 ATS in its last 33 games after one or more consecutive straight up wins while Ottawa is 0-6 ATS in its last six home games after gaining 450 or more total yards in their previous game and 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games after outgaining opponent by 70 or more total yards in their previous game. *10 (361) Calgary Stampeders**
7/12/2018	LOSER	MLB	Fargo's MLB Thursday Triple Play (19-10 MLB Run) This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Thursday Triple Play. The Brewers lost two of three in Miami to start the week, but we expect them to bounce back here and at a nice underdog price. They are 25-20 on the road and remain a game and a half ahead of the Cubs in the National League Central. Pittsburgh took two of three against Washington to even its homestand at 3-3 and while it won yesterday, the Pirates are 4-13 in their last 17 games following a win. Jameson Taillon has put together a solid season thus far with a 4.05 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 18 starts. Only eight of those have been quality outings including just three at home in nine starts. Betting on Wade Miley may be a scary proposition, but this is a good spot. Miley missed the first month of the season with an injured groin and then he put together an impressive start against the Reds, pitching six innings and allowing just one run on three hits and three walks with four strikeouts before leaving his next start with an oblique strain that put him on the DL for two months. He has been solid in his rehab assignments and should continue that here. There has been no indication of him being on a pitch count, but it is fine if he is as the Brewers possess the fifth lowest bullpen ERA in baseball and fits into a positive situation. Here, we play on National League teams when the moneyline is +125 to -125 that are averaging between 4.0 and 4.5 rpg and with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.25 or better on the season going up against a starter whose ERA is between 3.70 and 4.20. This situation is 45-15 (75 percent) over the last five seasons. *10 (953) Milwaukee Brewers** This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS as part of our MLB Thursday Triple Play. We played against Toronto last night as they failed to back up their 6-2 win from Tuesday against the Braves, but we will be backing the Blue Jays as big underdogs in a very favorable spot. They have been dominated by the Red Sox this season as they have lost five straight meetings and seven of none overall, but one of those victories came with the starter tonight on the hill. Boston has won nine straight games so stepping in front of this train is a risk, but it is a risk we will take at this price. The Red Sox are 3.5 games ahead of the Yankees and while they are playing at a high level, David Price is not pitching at a high level. He put up a dud two starts back against the Yankees, which is understandable, but he followed that up with another poor outing against the hapless Royals, but the offense bailed him out which has been the case much of the season. That includes two starts against Toronto, but neither were quality outings. J.A. Happ is coming off a pair of bad games against Detroit and New York, however those were at home where he has an ERA that is over 2.5 runs higher than it is on the road. Going back, the Blue Jays are 6-0 in his last six road starts against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against American League favorites with a mone line of -110 or higher that are averaging 5.1 or more rpg while hitting .280 or better over their last 20 games going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is between 4.70 and 5.70. This situation is 28-15 (65.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (961) Toronto Blue Jays This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS as part of our MLB Thursday Triple Play. Cleveland is coming off a 19-run performance last night and it comes at an ideal time as the Indians will be playing their first home game against the Yankees since losing to them in the ALDS last season in five games. The win last night snapped a four-game slide where the Indians had won eight straight games at home after a sloe start at Progressive Field to start the season. New York is coming off a 9-0 win last night in Baltimore and it has struggled of late on the highway, going just 6-7 in its last 13 road games. There is nothing negative to say about Luis Severino as he has been outstanding with a 2.12 ERA in 18 starts but his numbers do regress some on the road. At home, the Yankees are 10-0 in his 10 starts but drop to 7-2 in nine road outings and while that is still extremely good, his road ERA is a full run higher than it is at home. He is coming off an uneven effort in his last start in Toronto which was his second non-quality outing in his last three starts. While Cleveland will be out for some home revenge, Corey Kluber will be as well. He struggled in two starts in the ALDS against the Yankees as he allowed nine runs in 6.2 innings, both of which came at home. Whether it was the pressure or not, he has dominated New York as he is 5-1 with a 1.80 ERA in seven career regular-season starts against the Yankees. This includes a 1.23 ERA in three home starts. Speaking of home, he has been dominant here this season with a 1.43 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in 10 starts, nine of which have been quality outings including six where he allowed zero earned runs. 9* (964) Cleveland Indians
7/11/2018	WINNER	MLB	Fargo's MLB Wednesday Triple Play (17-9 MLB Run) This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Mets have lost the first two games of this series as the offense has managed just four runs and going back, they have scored only eight runs in their last five games of this homestand. They are in a good contrarian spot however to get the offense going behind their ace starting pitcher. Philadelphia has taken over first place in the National League East as it has won two straight games and 10 of its last 13. The Phillies offense has been struggling as well as with the exception of a 17-run outburst against the Pirates, they have averaged just 3.8 rpg over the other 12 games during this stretch. Jacob deGrom takes the hill for New York and he brings in a league-best 1.79 ERA as he has tossed 10 straight quality outings while allowing more than three runs only once all season. In his first game against the Phillies this season, he was making his first start since he suffered a hyperextended right elbow and walked three batters, struck out two in the shortest outing of his career. Philadelphia counters with Vince Velazquez who has been up and down. In six starts against the Mets, he is 1-3 with a 4.61 ERA and the Phillies are 2-5 in his last seven road starts against teams with a losing record. Here, we play on National League favorites with a money line of -150 or more with a team slugging percentage of .390 or worse on the season while batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games. This situation is 145-55 (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. *8 (908) New York Mets This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Angels responded from a three-run first inning by the Mariners to score nine unanswered runs to win this series opener and improve to 3-1 on this current homestand. This is a big series to cut the lead and somehow get back into the Wild Card hunt. The Mariners possess that second Wild Card slot as they have a six-game lead over Oakland and now a 10-game lead over the Angels. Despite being 18 games over .500, Seattle is just +11 in scoring differential which is the lowest positive differential in all of baseball, behind even the Angels which are +20. They are where they are thanks to a 26-11 record in one-run games, easily the best mark in baseball. Marco Gonzales has had a solid season with a 3.64 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 18 starts and the Mariners have won all three of his starts against the Angels but all of those were at home where his ERA is a run and a half better than on the road. Jaime Barria has had an equally strong season with a 3.39 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 12 starts. He has allowed two runs or less in 10 of those and this is a good spot to end the five-game winless start streak. The Angels fall into a solid contrarian situation where we play on home teams when the moneyline is +125 to -125 that are hitting .215 or worse over their last 15 games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.00 or better over his last three starts. This situation is 30-14 (68.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (924) Los Angeles Angels This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. Toronto won the series opener last night thanks to a five-run eighth inning and it got a much needed solid start from Marcus Stroman. The Blue Jays are now just 18-23 on the road and they are 7-20 in their last 27 games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Atlanta has lost six of its last seven games to fall into second place in the National League East, one game behind the Phillies. The Braves are 10-4 in their last 14 games when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. Mike Foltynewicz gets the ball for the Braves and after allowing more than two runs only once through his first 17 starts, he did so again last game which means we can expect a bounce back similar to the first time. Overall, he has a 2.37 ERA and 1.11 WHIP and those drop to 2.18 and 1.08 respectively in eight home starts. The Braves are 7-2 in his last nine home starts against teams with a losing record. Sam Gaviglio has put together a solid season since entering the rotation in mid-May as he has a 3.81 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in nine starts and Toronto has won his last four outings. Only one of those was on the road where he has a 6.75 ERA in four games. Here, we play against American League teams with an OBP of .310 or worse and starting a pitcher who gave up one or less earned runs last outing going up against a National League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.25 or better. This situation is 42-14 (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (928) Atlanta Braves**
7/11/2018	LOSER	WNBA	Fargo's 10* WNBA Wednesday Terminator (11-6 Run) Note: 11:30 AM ET Start This is a play on the WASHINGTON MYSTICS for our WNBA Wednesday Terminator. Washington is back home following a 1-1 west coast swing and it still holds a two-game lead in the Eastern Conference over Connecticut. While going just 4-6 against the Western Conference, the Mystics have dominated within their own conference, going 8-1 against the east. They had a chance to pull off the upset against the Storm as Washington led 56-48 in the third quarter before the Storm went on a 27-10 run over the final seven minutes to pull away. The Mystics are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Atlanta is coming off an upset win over Phoenix on Sunday and while it has performed well against the top teams in the league, this is a bad spot. The Dream are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games off a home win while going 9-19 ATS in their last 28 road games after allowing 70 points or more in three straight games. They also fall into a negative situation where we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are averaging between 72 and 76 ppg going up against teams allowing 76 or more ppg, after scoring 70 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) since 1997. *10 (324) Washington Mystics**